Scam Alert: The Perfect Craps System
The following video describes the perfect system for playing craps online. I must admit, the video is extremely interesting. But interesting doesn’t always mean accurate. I tested this system over a one hour time period while playing very low amounts with play money. The video claims that there is a 1 in 300 something chance that you will roll back to back 7’s. My results? 18/43. Conclusion: scam!
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March 13th, 2008 at 6:06 pm
Wow. This guy is seriously retarded. He keeps harping on how “most people don’t win at this game because most people don’t understand probability.” Yet his entire system is based on a misunderstanding of one of the most basic statistical concepts: independent variables.
Each roll of the dice is an independent experiment. Rolling a 7 on your first roll does not change the probability that you’ll roll a 7 on your second roll. It’s like flipping a coin. Does the coin have to land tails up just because it landed heads up the first time you flipped it?
March 13th, 2008 at 7:31 pm
Ah, Craps, my true love! The reality is, depending on how you play, it’s the best odds in the house behind Black Jack (which is 50/50). Craps can be as good as 49/51. My system is this:
* Play the minimum on the pass.
* Put some odds behind that. Adjust upwards if point is set on the 6 or the 8.
* Play the minimum come bet whenever you’re up.
* If the come is set on the 6 or 8 place max odds.
* If the point / come is NOT on the 6 or 8 then place minimum bets on them. Press them one unit on the first win (press two units if you’re way the fuck up and the table is hot).
* Buy the 4 or 10 if you’re up and feeling jiggy.
* Never, ever, ever put money on the field bet or serious money on any part of the inside table. However, throw down a two way hard 4/6/8 for the dealers for good karma.
* When you’re up more than 50% put your initial money away and play with what you have left (e.g. if you’ve started with $200 and find yourself with $300+ in chips take the $200 off the table and start over with $100 of the house’s money).
The system I just described puts me up thousands over the last few years
(YMMV).
–Joe